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tropical storm fiona atlantic hurricane earl tracking forecasts weather
Tropical Storm Fiona is moving N/NE far from land at 12mph with winds near 35 mph. Fiona continues behind Earl and the outflow from Earl is expected to create shear, transforming Fiona into a tropical depression by late Saturday.

hurricane earl tracking forecast weather hurricanes atlantic florida coast< Hurricane Earl maximum sustained winds have decreased to 75 mph. Hurricane force winds extend outward 70 miles from the center and tropical storm force winds extend out 200 miles. Earl is moving N/NE at 20mph.

Earl sideswiped North Carolina's Outer Banks early Friday, passing 75 miles east of Cape Hatteras. Earl's 15 foot waves, and 3 foot storm surge, pushed water over the only road out of the Outer Banks in multiple locations, closing it. The top wind gust from Earl was 74 mph, at Oregon Inlet. Earl is expected to pass 50 miles southeast of Cape Cod, Mass. near 2am Saturday as a Category 1 hurricane with 75 mph winds, bringing winds of 50 mph to Cape Cod and Nantucket. Earl is expected to weaken to a tropical storm and hit Nova Scotia, Canada, late Saturday morning.

Hurricane Categories are based on sustained winds (1)74-95 mph (2)96-110 (3)111-130 (4)131-155 (5)over 155

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2010 Atlantic Hurricane season - NOAA is projecting a 70% probability of : 14 to 23 Named Storms (top winds of 39 mph +, including: 8 to 14 Hurricanes (top winds of 74 mph +), of which: 3 to 7 could be Major Hurricanes (Cat 3, 4 or 5; winds at least 111 mph). The main uncertainty in forecast is the Sea Temperature.


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Items that you should always have available
or can purchase-
Non-electric can opener,
flashlights, radios, portable TV's, cans of sterno,
candles, dry food, canned food, bottled water.
Emergency Survival Info and Goods Here


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Florida Hurricane Coastal Strike Probability

Florida gets the majority of the news and appears
that it is the only State in the path of Hurricanes.
Hurricane strike probabilities are only statistical
estimates. Be prepared as storms approach.


The 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron,
known as the Hurricane Hunters of the Air Force
Reserve, is the only Dept of Defense organization
that flies airplanes into the eye of the hurricane
recording unique photos. Hurricane Hunters



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A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before
the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds...conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

Protect your home. Get a professional inspection and strengthen areas prone to storm damage. Take photos and save them with all receipts in a safe place. Contact your insurance agent about rebates for any work done to fortify your home, such as hurricane windows, doors and protective roofing.

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Current Florida Keys - South Florida and Cuba - Radar Weather Map The official Atlantic hurricane season is from June 1st through November 30th.
Many factors are needed for a hurricane to develop, such as  - the Ocean temperature must be a minimum of 80 degrees and depth at least 150ft. Current Gulf of Mexico water temperatures 85 to 88 degrees from Key West to Tampa Bay.

Alex was the first Atlantic Hurricane of the season and reached a category 2 in intensity. It made its way over the Gulf of Mexico and slammed into Mexico with 100 mph winds Wednesday night June 30th and then dissipated as it moved over land. Wave action from the hurricane only caused a minimal effect as it pushed some of the top slick from the oil leak area in the Gulf closer to the shores in Louisiana, Alabama and Mississippi
Hurricane Danielle and Earl are the second and third hurricanes of the season and remained out in the Atlantic.

T
he loop current has less effect on the west coast of Florida keeping more than 100 miles off the coast. More potential to move oil particles near Key West and up the East Coast....Gulf of Mexico loop current

2010 Atlantic Hurricane season - NOAA is projecting a 70 percent probability of the following ranges:
14 to 23 Named Storms (top winds of 39 mph or higher, including: 8 to 14 Hurricanes (top winds of 74 mph or higher), of which: 3 to 7 could be Major Hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of at least 111 mph).

Many factors must be present for a hurricane to develop, they include: Sea temperature must be a minimum of 80 degrees to a depth of at least 150 feet.
The lower layer of the atmosphere must contain a large degree of high humidity. The difference of the wind speed between the lower and upper atmospheres must not exceed 20 miles per hour. Thunderstorm activity must be present to start the circular spinning action and create an upward flow of air near the center of the thunderstorm center, and if barometric pressure drops, more air is sucked up into the core of the storm and wind velocity begins to increase. If wind speed increases to 74mph (the minimum velocity for hurricane classification), an "eye" will generally begin to form, giving birth to a hurricane.


2010 Weather Update - El Nino - If El Nino sea surface temperatures fade then wind shear will be reduced, making it easier for hurricanes to form. If El Nino transitions into La Nina, we could see an extremely active hurricane season. Or, if El Nino lasts longer than normal, we could have another quiet season. El Nino Updates sea surface temperatures

On April 7, 2010,
Colorado State University issued its annual report on the year's hurricane forecast predictions. Forecasters predict above average Atlantic hurricane-season. University forecasters William Gray and Phil Klotzbach each stated that El Nino conditions will likely dissipate by summer. In addition they believe that the warm tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures will not drop and will remain at the current temperatures. These temperatures have reportedly been much warmer than usual.


Have a plan of action to protect against hazards. A family plan should include knowing the risks in your area, locating safe areas in the home or evacuation centers, setting a contact location where family members can meet, making plans for pets, storing nonperishable food and other emergency items, and using a NOAA radio.

Many factors must be present for a hurricane to develop and intensify, they include: Ocean temperature must be a minimum of 80 degrees to a depth of at least 150 feet.
In a typical season, there are about 11 named storms, of which two to three impact the east or gulf coast of the US.

2009 Archives - The North Atlantic hurricane season overall in 2009 ranks as the slowest since the El Nino year of 1997. Bill was the first Atlantic hurricane and did not affect Florida. Hurricane Ida fizzled out because the Gulf water temperatures were not warm enough.

Hurricane Categories are based on sustained winds (1)74-95 mph (2)96-110 (3)111-130 (4)131-155 (5)over 155 mph.
The official Atlantic hurricane season is from June 1st through November 30th.

Forecasters predicting an above average 2010 Western Atlantic Hurricane season due to expected warm ocean temperatures. In a typical season, there are about 11 named storms, of which two to three impact the east or gulf coast of the US. AccuWeather Hurricane Center meteorologists are predicting 16 to 18 tropical storms, 15 of which would be in the western Atlantic or Gulf of Mexico, and therefore a threat to land. They predict seven landfall - five hurricanes, and two or three of the hurricanes will be major landfalls for the U.S.

Tips after a Hurricane Do not examine your home for damage with matches, candles, or other other "flame based" lighting.
Use flashlights. Avoid downed power lines. If you stored water in open containers such s bathtubs, do not drink water without purifying it first.

2009 Tropical Storm Names & 2009 Hurricane Names
Ana, Bill, Claudette, Danny, Erika, Fred, Grace, Henri, Ida, Joaquin, Kate, Larry, Mindy, Nicholas, Odette, Peter, Rose, Sam, Teresa, Victor, Wanda

For 2008 - NOAA had predicted a near normal Atlantic Hurricane Season with a 65% chance of 12 to 16 named storms, including 6 to 9 hurricanes and 2 to 5 major hurricanes. An average season has 11 named storms, including  6 hurricanes. Only Fay slammed the state of Florida with heavy rains. The 15 other named storms spared Florida. 2008 Named Tropical Storms and Hurricanes were Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly, Genevieve, Edouard, Fay, Gustav, Hanna, Ike, Iselle, Josephine, Kyle, Omar and Paloma

August 2008 Tropical Storm Fay - caused severe water shortage for a 16-county region of Florida and parts of Georgia. Rainfall from from 17 to 25 inches for Florida and Georgia was reported. Areas of flooding with accumulations up to 30 inches caused major damage. While hurricane losses in Florida were minimal this year, 2008 was the fourth costliest hurricane season on record – $21 billion in U.S.-insured damages, according to the ISO’s Property Claim Services.

Florida Hurricane Strike Statistic Probabilities - Cape Coral Florida 1 in 11 ---- Tampa Bay Florida (st pete, clearwater area) 1 in 25
Jun 1, 2006 - It leaves residents in hurricane-prone areas feeling shell-shocked. Cape Coral insurance agent Brad Carlock knows of people who take out long-term loans to pay their annual insurance bills.   Oct 20, 2005 - Hurricane Charley that came within 10 miles of Cape Coral and caused significant damage. Damage estimates in Cape Coral topped $600 million and 41 percent of the homes here suffered some damage.  Aug 14, 1992 - . Hurricane Andrew, which caused billions of dollars of damage in south Florida. ... Heavy damage was reported in Cape Coral   sources  sources

The Top 10 States that have had Major Hurricane strikes are Florida with Texas a close second, Louisiana, North Carolina, Mississippi, Alabama, New York, South Carolina, Connecticut and Rhode Island (hurricane strikes chart)

The Atlantic hurricane season is officially from 1 June to 30 November.
Chart From 1950 to 2004 in the United States Major Hurricane Land Strikes

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Before you purchase area Real Estate - get updated Information on Tampa Bay Area Flood Zoning, Property Insurance, etc.
If your mortgage company and/or insurance agent claim that your home is in a Special Flood Hazard Area, this link recommends you perform a flood risk analysis.
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Insurance experts sound alarm that Florida may be ill-equipped to pay future storm claims Florida Home Insurance News
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- Hurricane Home Window Protection  Temporary Shutters, permanent shutters and impact resistant windows Rollshield.com
Homes Window Protection - Window clips are one of many inexpensive ways to protect your real estate and windows from high winds and airborne debris. They install in minutes and slide on the edge of the plywood which is inserted into the exterior window casing. Plywood can be removed without tools. Hurricane Window Clips

Florida Real Estate Insurance Info- In 2002, the Florida Legislature passed a law that combined the Florida Residential Property and Casualty Joint Underwriting Association (FRPCJUA) and the Florida Windstorm Underwriting Association (FWUA). This resulted in the creation of Citizens Property insurance Corporation (Citizens), which more efficiently and effectively provides insurance to, and serves the needs of, homeowners in high-risk areas and others who cannot find coverage in the open, private insurance market. Web Sites http://www.citizensfla.com    Florida Homeowner Referral Program for Insurance

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The Atlantic hurricane season officially is from June 1st through November 30th.
DID YOU KNOW
-  Many factors must be present for a hurricane to develop, they include:
Ocean temperature must be a minimum of 80 degrees to a depth of at least 150 feet.
The lower layer of the atmosphere (troposphere) must contain a large degree of high humidity.
The difference of the wind speed between the lower and upper atmospheres must not exceed 20 miles per hour.
Thunderstorm activity must be present to start the circular spinning action and create an upward flow of air.
Wind speed begins to speed up near the center of the thunderstorm center, and if barometric pressure drops, more air is sucked up into the core of the storm and wind velocity begins to increase. If wind speed increases to 74mph (the minimum velocity for hurricane classification), an "eye" will generally begin to form, giving birth to a hurricane.

Hurricane Strike Statistics and Probabilities Map
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Atlantic hurricanes often form to the west or northwest of the African equatorial coast. Prevailing wind currents generally cause them to travel in a westward or northwestward direction, making the Caribbean Islands usually vulnerable. Hurricanes can develop in almost any of the world's oceans, but generally form in the tropics and the Gulf of Mexico.   Web Links
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